Khazar Dictionary
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Knowledge is a perishable commodity; it can turn sour in a second. Like the future.
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The explosion in Kabul airport changed a lot for the US and Americans. It would be difficult to impeach Biden, but the Republicans now have good chances for 2024.

We have said earlier that the withdrawal of Americans from Afghanistan won’t give Taliban an ultimate control over the country. The movement is fractured.

What is ISIS-Khorasan, allegedly responsible for the explosions? This piece of writing points toward the right direction. Amrullah Saleh says that every evidence shows that ISIS-Khorasan has its roots in Haqqani network of Taliban, and this we can also confirm.

A group of talibs is just using the ISIS brand, that’s it. The explosions show that there is no ultimate leader in Taliban, as well as there will be no peace in the country.

In a long term the US should dismantle Pakistan.

Russian diplomats are flirting with talibs, calling them reasonable and so on. Russia and China didn’t vote for the latest UN resolution regarding Taliban’s commitments.

Won’t help.
Worthy Trophy

We haven’t written about Vladislav Klyushin for a long time, which surely doesn’t mean that he is forgotten.

Switzerland has officially rejected an attempt by Moscow to extradite Klyushin to Russia, so he will likely end up in the US.

Klyushin is accused of insider trading, but actually he is interesting because of his contacts with high-ranked officials like Alexei Gromov. His M13 company has been getting lucrative deals from Kremlin since 2016 for monitoring social networks.

Kremlin’s telegram major Nezygar was also in Klyushin’s portfolio, but is controlled by other people from Staraya Ploshad now.

Klyushin is being held in a maximum-security facility in southwestern Switzerland. He will make a worthy trophy for the US.
Vladimir Putin has made lately two ridiculous claims.

The aging Russian President said first that the population of Russia could’ve been 500mln if not for the fall of Russian Empire and Soviet Union. We have no clue whatsoever how and why Putin The Historian is counting non-existent people, but could remind Putin of his own joke.

Second, Putin said that American operation in Afghanistan produced a zero outcome. Let’s take into consideration though that Putin was speaking in front of children.

The outcome and the results are coming, don't hurry. The question is whether Russia will be ready to accept them.

We strongly recommend everyone to follow Afghan case closely. It is a rare opportunity to see how different world powers are operating, because they have to do it more or less publicly. This window will close soon.
Today is the 17th anniversary of Beslan massacre, when terrorists took about 1200 hostages in Beslan, a town in Russian region of North Ossetia.

Unwilling or unable to reach an agreement over terrorists’ demand to withdraw federal troops from Chechnya, Russian siloviks assaulted a school with hundreds of kids in it.

The outcome – 334 people dead, including 186 kids.

Russian authorities still insist that they were forced to storm the school by the explosion inside. The survivors say otherwise. Anyway, Beslan showed that lives of people, even lives of kids, do not mean much for Kremlin.

Top Russian officials and top FSB officers were in charge of the assault with heavy weapons. In its aftermath Vladimir Putin used Beslan tragedy to cancel the direct elections in regions.

Vladimir Putin hasn’t visited Beslan to honor the victims of the massacre ever since.
Two individuals made careers and fortunes after Beslan. Dmitry Peskov was in charge of information coverage. The journalist of federal channel Margarita Simonyan lied to the whole country saying that there are only 354 hostages in the school.

The services of both were rewarded. Simonyan became the head of Russia Today next year, Peskov was appointed Putin’s press secretary in 2008 and now has millions on his wrist and is enjoying his life.
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Beslan As A Choice

Dmitry Peskov (in red) instructs local official in Beslan. He will later announce that there are only 354 hostages in the school, making matters for more than 1100 people (excluding terrorists, who cannot be considered human) inside even worse.

Beslan is a story about a choice. Putin, Patrushev and others were choosing between lives of children and “state interests” the way they understand them.

They made their choice, 186 kids were killed. Do the likes of Peskov and Simonian feel their little share of responsibility for it?
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Margarita Simonian, then a young journalist, is publicly saying that there are only 300-400 hostages in Beslan.

A year later 25-year old journalist “somehow” became the head of Russia Today. Simonian proved in Beslan that she will do whatever Kremlin wants her to do, with no regard to decency, ethics and human lives.

We congratulate Margarita Simonian with an illustrious career started in Beslan. Great job.
CEO of state-owned VTB bank and Putin’s long time associate Andrei Kostin said yesterday that major Russian banks don’t need to conduct operations in Crimea.

American and European sanctions, Kostin added, are also a major factor that makes Russian banks avoid Crimea.

Reading Russian state media and telegram channels, we thought that American sanctions do not work.

Just joking. The scale of American economic and financial power is too much for any country. When Washington sneezes, someone on the other side of the planet may catch a cold.

Russian banks cannot recognize Crimea as a part of Russia, and won’t any time soon.
Sergei Kuzhugetovich Berdymukhamedov

Proekt Media (now it’s called Agency) came up with a text about Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu carefully building personality cult in his native Tuva region and the PR machine of Defense Ministry.

Shoigu is being worshipped in Tyva as a reincarnation of Subutai, a prominent Mongol general under Genghis Khan.

Crazy ego of Shoigu is a reflection of Putin’s self-representation. Just like his boss, Shoigu sees himself as a historic figure, almost a monument. That’s why he is so obsessed with his public image.

The idea of new cities in Siberia shows the scale of Shoigu’s insane ego. Shoigu, 66, wants to put his mark on the map of Russia to be remembered the way people remember the great people of the past.

Unfortunately for Shoigu, he is nothing more than a corrupted billionaire without military talent (he isn’t especially respected in international military circles) who made his fortune due to his loyalty first to Yeltsin and then to Putin.

Being a Corporation, Russia doesn’t need Subutais and won’t produce ones. It will produce only Shoigus.
In the coming decade or so we will see a reformed American strategy. The age of senseless operations on the ground in Afghanistan and Middle East is hopefully over.

America will concentrate its effort on dismantling China.

Pentagon hasn’t done anything to help Panjshir. It's all good until Afghanistan as long as it is a pressure factor for Central Asian states. It will reduce their dependence on Moscow, for they will need more effective safety guarantees.

Enormous resources are being released with the withdrawal from Afghanistan, more will come after America withdraws from Iraq.

Neither China, nor Russia has opposed America that is not stuck elsewhere. This time is coming, and the difference will be significant.

China is the primary goal. Being very pragmatic, the Chinese won't hesitate to give Russia up to strike a deal with the US, if necessary.

Moscow has to rethink its approaches not to become a legitimate target for the US. Unfortunately, it looks like neither Putin, nor his inner circle are able to think on a necessary level.
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Sergei Shoigu is sometimes viewed as Putin’s possible heir even by Russian experts, although it is completely impossible.

Not only because of his age – he will be almost 70 in 2024, and there are no clear signs that Putin will abandon his throne until he is alive.

The main reason is that Russians aren’t a classic Western civic nation. Russians are mostly ethnic nationalists, the scale of xenophobia towards Asians, North Caucasians and other non-ethnic Russians is significant all over the country.

Shoigu isn’t ethnic Russian, he just doesn’t have a correct last name to be a Russian president. In America we do not distinguish Russkiys and Russians, in Russia it is often a crucial difference.
Billionaires Putin and Shoigu are going on a 4 day vacation to Siberia.

Genghis Khan and Subutai would have discussed matters of war and peace, but these two are businessmen with money on their mind.

Shoigu will have enough time to discuss his idea of building new cities in Siberia in order to intensify mining operations in the region. The idea clearly has an enormous potential for corruption.

These people will invent new ways of spending money just not to give it to the people and keep them poor.

One more time, putinism as a political phenomena is impossible without poverty.
Russia's Emergency Minister Evgeny Zinichev, a former security officer of Vladimir Putin, tragically died in Norilsk. According to local media, Zinichev fell off the cliff while sightseeing. Other reports claim that Zinichev was killed amidst emergency exercises trying to save someone.
Nobody should speculate on the death of Evgeny Zinichev. The man is dead, it is a tragedy and we are sending sincere condolences and sympathy to his family.

Nonetheless, when a high-ranked silovik like Zinichev with a personal access to Vladimir Putin dies the way it is reported, questions arise naturally.

We should look in the coming days, weeks and months whether there will be any resignations, sudden deaths or other incidents with people around Zinichev.

Perhaps, the transfer has really started.
The latest report of Russia’s Central Bank shows that inflation expectations in the country remain extremely high.

The official inflation rate in August was 6.68% (a five-year high) while the estimate for price over among Russians was 16.5% according to the FOM poll. Households' expectation for price rises over the next 12 months is a slightly lower 12.5%

It is safe to say that Russian inflation will remain unbeaten this year. The targeted 4% are already unreachable, the official rate will likely be 6-6.5%. The actual inflation has likely hit double digits.

Prices are going up amidst the growing poverty. At the same time, it looks like the Russian ruling caste is living better than ever.

The Bank will likely have to hike its key rate (6.5% at the moment) once again at the September monetary policy meeting. For the fifth time this year.
Lukashenko is meeting with Putin in Moscow, allegedly to discuss the further integration. Don't know about integration, the only thing we are curious about is how much money Lukashenko will get this time. Belarus is a perfect white elephant for Russia.
The Bank of Russia reported that the net private capital outflow from Russia amounted to $51bln in a 8-month span of 2021 which is 43.5% more than in January-August of 2020.

Russian riches – top-siloviks, MPs, oligarchs etc – are taking their billions to the West amidst the skyrocketing poverty and Kremlin’s anti-Western propaganda.

The narrative of the West dreaming of ousting Vladimir Putin is utterly ridiculous. Look at the numbers. Money talks.

Sure enough, Russian state-sponsored telegram won’t talk about it the way it talks about, for example, the threat of migrants or Biden’s follies.

It is vital to make Russians believe that a random Tajik is more dangerous than a corrupted silovik caste or MP that are literally destroying the future of Russians by ensuring the future of their own children somewhere in Switzerland.
As we have suggested yesterday, the Bank of Russia increased its key rate by .25 basic points today. The key rate is 6.75% now.
Not a single person we talked with about the death of Evgeny Zinichev believes in the official accounts of his death. One of our US sources called the official version “utterly ridiculous”.

Not a single Russian source believes in it either. Some believe it to be a “hidden Rommel-style suicide”.

Another said that he tended to believe that Zinichev fell off the cliff accidentally until Putin awarded him with the Hero of Russia Gold Star the very next day after his death.

A dogfight is going on under the red Kremlin carpets amidst the transfer, and Zinichev’s death or killing shows how high are the stakes.

The message is sent anyway. No captives will be held In the Russian power transfer. These people are fighting for billions of dollars and the right to control the nuclear power with endless natural resources.

If Zinichev was killed on order, then this order could be given by one man only. If he really died by an accident, then something is really, really wrong in Russia.